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Mass Immigration's Impact on U.S. Energy Usage
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According to the Census Bureau's middle-series projections, the U.S will add more people to
its population in the next 50 years as currently live West of the Mississippi River.
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In December 1997, representatives from over 160 nations met
in Kyoto, Japan, to negotiate binding limitations on
greenhouse gas emissions. The outcome of the conference was
the Kyoto Protocol, under which industrialized nations agreed to reduce greenhouse
gas emissions an average of 5.2% below 1990 emission
levels between 2008 and 2012.
The United States has so far refused to sign the agreement, but
world political pressures appear likely to force the U.S. to
undertake efforts to curb greenhouse gas emissions, particularly
carbon dioxide, within the next few years. Such efforts will be
particularly onerous if U.S. population growth, driven by high
immigration, continues on its present path.
An examination of the relationship between energy
consumption, population growth, and immigration in the U.S.
shows the following:
Increased population, not increased consumption, is
almost entirely responsible for the one-third increase in
U.S. energy usage since 1973.
In 2000 the U.S. used over 30 percent more energy than in 1973. But
this is not because individuals are using more energy; it's
entirely because there are more people.
Per capita motor gasoline consumption in the U.S. was virtually
unchanged between 1974 and 2000 despite major
improvements in the fuel efficiency of new vehicles. Per capita
motor gasoline consumption was 471 gallons in 1974 and 463
gallons in 2000. Over this same time period the fuel efficiency
of the U.S. passenger car fleet increased from 13.6 miles per
gallon (mpg) to 21.4 mpg and the fuel efficiency of the light
truck fleet (including vans and SUVs) increased from 11.0 to
17.1 mpg.
Immigration is the cause of 40 percent of U.S.
population growth in the last quarter century and has
been directly responsible for one-third of the increase in
energy usage during that period.
Residential energy use has increased by 34 percent since
1973. Almost all of that entire increase was due to population growth.
"From 1970 to 2000, U.S. population growth was related to approximately 87% of the
increase in total U.S. primary energy consumption.
To date, since less than 10 percent of U.S. energy supply is derived from renewable sources, the
increasing number of American energy consumers is pushing the country down an ever-more
precarious, polluting path of dependency on fossil fuels. Not only will global oil and gas
reserves be exhausted for all intents within this century, but their exploitation is altering the
earth's atmospheric composition and probably its very climate."2
The U.S. won't be able to meet emission-reductions
goals unless we slow down immigration-driven
population growth. Assuming that U.S. immigration
levels continue at their current rate, meeting the Kyoto
Protocol goals will require that per capita energy
consumption in the year 2012 be reduced
by 28 percent from the 2000 level. This would require major
lifestyle changes for Americans and cause serious
economic dislocations.
If immigration continues at current high levels, the U.S. will not be able to achieve any meaningful
reductions in carbon dioxide emissions without serious
economic and social consequences for American citizens.
The situation is, unfortunately, even more serious. We have extracted approximately half of all petroleum on the planet, and global demand is increasing as a result of industrialization of third-world countries, especially China. It is likely that we will be able to sustain current populations of most countries, let alone projected population growth.
Our predicament will become all too clear over the next few decades as we draw down the remaining petroleum reserves across the planet.
For more information, see the full report,
Running in Place - Immigration's Impact on U.S. Energy Usage, by Donald F. Anthrop; Federation for American Immigration Reform, and the book2 Population Growth -- The Neglected Dimension of America's Persistent Energy/Environmental Problems by Leon Kolankiewicz (a new broswer window will open)
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