European Survival and the World's Most Important Graph

Africa has an inordinately high fertility rate. Consistent with r/K selection theory, the African population has historically favored higher numbers of offspring in a country with high levels of endemic disease. 

A high fertility reproductive strategy works well until population growth goes exponential. As is the case with exponential growth, when things get bad, they get bad in a hurry. To see the consequences of exponential growth, take this eye-opening 2 minute tutorial on Understanding Exponential Growth by World Population Balance.

Al Bartlett observed that:

The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function.

He then asked:

Can you think of any problem in any area of human endeavor on any scale, from microscopic to global, whose long-term solution is in any  demonstrable way aided, assisted, or advanced by further increases in population, locally, nationally, or globally?

Africa's population growth is going exponential. The population is outstripping resources - that is, the carrying capacity of the sustaining environment. Thus, there is immense pressure to out-migrate from the African continent to the greener pastures of Europe. This pressure will increase dramatically as population continues to grow exponentially. 

In contrast, the population of Europe has a low fertility rate. Europe's population has successfully adopted the K selection strategy - fewer offspring coupled with a high level of nurturing. As a result, Europe has achieved a stable, sustainable, non-growing population. Economists and politicians hate economies that don't grow, but in the long run that's exactly what is required.

The World's Most Important Graph reveals the projected disparity in population growth for Africa, Asia, Europe, Latin America and North America:

Projected population of Africa vs Europe


This doesn't bode well for Europe. A K-based population strategy can't compete with r-based population growth. With open floodgates, migration to Europe and the associated high fertility of migrants will ultimately displace low fertility Europeans. Traditional European culture will be subsumed by the cultures of the displacing population. With open floodgates, the cradle of Western Civilization will crumble, notwithstanding the myopic myth of multiculturalism.

In an October 30, 2017 American Renaissance article on The World's Most Important Graph, Jared Taylor writes:

Nigeria is a good example of this explosive growth. In 1950, it had only about 32 million people, or about one-fifth the population of the United States. By 2050—just 33 years from now—its projected population of 398 million is expected to equal that of the United States, which has more than 10 times the land area and a vastly superior infrastructure.

Many Africans will not want to stay in Africa. There are already some 6 million black Africans and 5 million North Africans living in Europe...

Africa is a miserable place, and its people are desperate to get out. The population explosion will put pressure on croplands, which will increase tribal competition and drive people into the cities. The cities are already bursting with people, traffic, crime, garbage, poverty, noise, and squalor. Millions will risk death to get out...

Taylor continues, focusing on steps that must be taken to resolve the crisis:

The most valuable foreign aid—both for Europe and for Africa—would be birth control. If they are wise, Europeans will brave accusations of “racism,” and explain how much Africans themselves will benefit from much lower birthrates.

Whatever we do, the flood of Africans is inevitable. I see three possible European responses. (1) Continue with the bumbling pattern of rescuing anyone who manages to sail a few miles off the North African coast. (2) Keep all Africans out. (3) Try to set up an orderly flow of “refugees” according to certain criteria...

Poland and Hungary are proving that individual EU members can keep “refugees” out—and they risk expulsion from the EU for doing so. For Europe to survive, the union must therefore break apart; the change of heart that alone can save Europe from the coming waves of Africans is unimaginable for the time being at the EU level.

The great Frenchman Guillaume Faye once wrote that unless the generation of Europeans now in their 20s takes action, Europe is doomed. Mr. Faye was writing only about immigration from the Middle East. Africa is a much greater threat...

That's the demographic reality. Europeans and Africans can no longer dismiss the overwhelming consequences of unconstrained population growth.

By the way, Taylor's article is titled Global Demographics and White Survival: What Is to Be Done? Part III. In actuality, the displacement of European whites is coincident with the displacement of European / Western Civilization. They are intrinsically linked. You can't talk about one without talking about the other, notwithstanding the polemic of political correctness.



Related articles

World Fertility - The World's Most Important Graph, by Fred Elbel, CAIRCO, May 9, 2017.

Europe: the beginning of the population tsunami, by Fred Elbel, CAIRCO, June 29, 2017.

Population Driven to Double by Mass Immigration

Exponential growth, doubling time, and the Rule of 70

Fertility and Population Momentum

The 2030 Great White Wave, by Dr. Brad Lyles, Canada Free Press, October 27, 2017.