Demographics: How Civilizations Will Be Decided

Article CAIRCO note: 
Demographics is destiny
Article author: 
Giulio Meotti
Article publisher: 
Gatestone Institute
Article date: 
25 September 2022
Article category: 
Our American Future
Article Body: 
  • Fewer babies will be born in all of Europe than in Nigeria alone.

  • More than half the increase of the global population projected by 2050 will be concentrated in just eight countries, mostly in Africa, according to The Economist: Congo, Egypt, Ethiopia, India, Nigeria, Pakistan, Philippines and Tanzania. Nigeria will have more inhabitants than Europe and the United States.

  • This crisis is not a projection, it is happening right now. By 2050, 60% of Italians will have no brothers, sisters, cousins, uncles or aunts...

  • Yemen, on the other hand, a failed country in the middle of a terrible civil war, will show a population increase that is double Italy's.

  • "In 1887 there was only one Muslim registered in Melilla, he was originally from Casablanca and worked as a servant; today Muslims exceed 40 percent of the population and are approaching the majority", reported the newspaper El Pais....

  • The Western world has provided more wealth and convenience to more citizens than any other civilization in history. We are practically inundated with resources, but we are running out of people*...

  • "Islam to become Russia's predominant religion by 2050?" - Pravda, July 21, 2008.

  • In addition, Islam will have overtaken Christianity as the largest religion in the world. The Islamic population of the European Union, depending on the migratory flows, could reach 75 million within a generation -- like an entire Muslim Germany or, if one prefers, like Denmark, Austria, Hungary, Greece, Belgium, Holland, Portugal and Sweden combined....

  • "They have not managed to change us. It is we who will change them. Look at the development of the population in Europe, where the number of Muslims increases like mosquitoes. Each Western woman in the E.U. produces, on average, 1.4 children. Each Muslim woman in these same countries produces 3.5 children. By 2050, 30% of the European population will be Muslim... Our way of thinking in Islam stands in opposition to the Western way of thinking. Today it is our way of thinking that comes in and shows itself stronger than theirs...."

    - "Mullah Krekar", Norwegian imam, Dagbladet, March 13, 2006.

  • The population of Birmingham will soon be half Muslim.... "In addition to Birmingham, Islam is now the dominant religion among children in Leicester, Bradford, Luton, Slough and the London boroughs of Newham, Redbridge and Tower Hamlets." - Quote from, September 21, 2014.

  • Do we fantasize that immigration at this rate will be able to integrate happily into host societies and that the migrants will become like us? Do we hope that before long, Europeans will return to having more children?* What if we are wrong and these projections become reality? Are we resigned to the disappearance of our civilization?


* While the author understands demographics, he clearly has little understanding of the ecological concept of population stabilization. Sadly, in demographic competition between incompatible and unassimilable cultures, raw population numbers win.

Is the U.S. Full? No, It’s Overfull, by Joe Guzzardi, The Burning Platform, 22 June 2019.

Great demographics, great power, Nicholas Eberstadt, Foreign Affairs, 2019 July/August.

The World's Most Important Graph, by Steve Sailer, VDare, 10 July 2022:

The world's most important graph - 2022