China's Depopulation Dividend

24 January 2023
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As shown in the graph in this article, Visualizing Changing World Population, China's population is decreasing, while India's population is unfortunately increasing.

World population 1950 - 2100, Our World in Data

The good news is that China, an overpopulated nation already in overshoot, is successfully lowering its population to sustainable numbers, as aptly explained in the article:

Mainstream Media Blindness to China’s Depopulation Dividend, by Jon Austen, Overpopulation News, 19 January 2023:

China has had its first fall in population in 61 years. The media has reported the story as a disaster for the economy, but is it really a disaster, or is it actually good news just presented as bad news?... Most people would think that the fall in China’s population is actually quite a good thing, with less pressure on natural resources and the environment and that the media would reflect this in some news stories, but it just doesn't....

The next story will be when India overtakes China as the most populous country on Earth later in 2023. China itself has got richer because of its falling birth rates, giving it a far higher per capita income than India.

The real story is that a long term fall in population means less pressure on food systems and less need for carbon intensive agriculture. It means an end to the need to build, which is also highly carbon intensive. It means less pollution, less deforestation, less overfishing, less waste, less pressure on groundwater. Less consumption of finite resources. Less destruction, allowing nature to recover....


Here's further discussion on Overshoot And The Population Conundrum.

Book: Who Will Feed China?: Wake-Up Call for a Small Planet, by Lester R. Brown, 1995 (still worth reading).

Closer to home, immigration-driven population growth remains a pressing problem: Exponential Growth: What It Means To Your Future in America.

8 Billion Humans – Too Many Already, Overpopulation News, 7 November 2022.

See this interesting 5 minute interactive tutorial: Understanding Exponential Growth.


Unlimited population growth cannot be sustained; you cannot sustain growth in the rates of consumption of resources. No species can overrun the carrying capacity of a finite land mass. This Law cannot be repealed and is not negotiable."
- Dr. Albert Bartlett,, University of Colorado, America.