Population Decline Hysteria and More Ponzi Demography

Article author: 
Joseph Chamie
Article publisher: 
Article date: 
1 February 2023
Article category: 
Our American Future
Article Body: 

China’s announcement on 17 January 2023 that its population had declined for the first time in 60 years has fostered population decline hysteria and promoted more Ponzi demography in many parts of the world...

The population decline hysteria has in turn facilitated the promotion of Ponzi demography, which calls for sustained robust rates of population growth. Ponzi demography is basically a pyramid scheme that generates more money, power and influence for some by adding on more and more people through natural increase and in some cases immigration.

Its underlying strategy is relatively straightforward: privatize benefits and profits and socialize burdens and costs incurred from increased population growth. Ponzi demography, however, is clearly unsustainable. Populations cannot continue to grow indefinitely without having serious social, economic, environmental and climatic consequences...

China’s future population over the coming decades depends largely on the course of the country’s fertility rate. If its fertility rate of 1.18 births per woman were to remain constant at its current level, the Chinese population at midcentury is projected to decline to 1.28 billion, a decrease of about 10 percent... Approximately 100 countries worldwide have a fertility rate below the replacement level of 2.1 births per woman..

The net result of these substantial country differences in future population growth rates is that the world’s current population of 8 billion is projected to continue increasing. Over the next forty years, the world’s population is expected to add another 2 billion people, reaching 10 billion around 2058....

Joseph Chamie is a consulting demographer, a former director of the United Nations Population Division and author of numerous publications on population issues, including his recent book, “Population Levels, Trends, and Differentials”.


China's Depopulation Dividend

Visualizing Changing World Population

Note that in America, women voluntarily reached replacement level fertility (2.1 children per woman) in 1970, yet America's population is being driven to double as a result of mass immigration

Ponzi Demography

Is the US population in decline? More ponzi demography, by Joseph Chamie, The Hill, 9 January 2021.